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The Gantry Group |
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Confidence. How critical business decisions are made. |
Gantry Group
Newsletter Issue No. 14, August 2002 |
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Let’s face it. The pendulum has swung yet again. From a business climate running on pure marketing sizzle, to one fueled by numeric “high octane”. Why has the world gone quantitative? Since the economic downturn, few companies have consistently hit their earnings and revenue projections. Having the latest, most pertinent facts and figures at their fingertips enhances executives' forecasting and planning precision. Then add to this corporate stress equation, increased global competition, flat market growth, and ubiquitous shareholder expectations for performance improvement. As a result, the need for measurable business benefits and rapid return on investment has never been greater – particularly in the IT sector for high-ticket technology sales. Companies are now implementing corporate management frameworks that use financial performance and enterprise ROI to identify and prioritize corporate initiatives that will have the greatest impact on shareholder value. Today’s business climate has catalyzed business buyers to demand answers to tough business questions:
Answering these questions can make the difference between booked
revenue and a lost sale. As a result of these high stakes, companies are
repositioning their strategic messages and sales approach to conform to
this quantitative view of a purchase decision. While some companies have
risen to the occasion with crisp, specific ROI and value messages for
their market, two important steps are often missed:
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| Good Intentions....But You Missed! |
First, let’s talk about business metrics. Business metrics are the quantitative corporate performance measurements that determine if a company has met its goals over a defined time period. Altogether, these corporate metrics form a corporate dashboard that lets a management team know if their actions are guiding the company in the correct direction, and at the right speed to reach the desired destination in the desired time frame. Examples of performance metrics are:
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BUT WAIT! Before you grab for the spreadsheet to build your ROI calculator, you must first identify those business performance metrics that matter your prospective customers. Understanding your market's business performance metrics is essential to a successful sales strategy. It is your customers' goals and objectives - their business metrics - that will drive their priorities and buying decisions. Your ROI proclamation will be far more effective if it is synergistic and aligned to your customers priorities. While this advice may appear obvious, it remains more often the case that companies cook up their ROI models without first determining whether its even meaningful to their market.
Discovering the common denominator of what business objectives are on your customers' annual docket is an important research step. This research can be conducted via an online survey or phone interviews to quickly tether the foundation of the ROI model. However it is important that a representative sample of decision-makers in each market segment, be engaged to pinpoint the important strategic issues that will be commanding the attention of management -- and the annual budget. Equally important is to create a consistent framework of questions that delve into your customers' challenges, goals and painpoints in achieving these goals.
Once you have developed a market-informed prototype ROI model, it is necessary to test more broadly, with a statistically significant sample from your target market. This step is crucial to the process because your customers will relegate your ROI statements as "anecdotal" if you simply quote a few customers as testimony to the model. This is not to imply that ROI customer success stories are not an important component of an ROI program. Often such personalized industry peer accounts bring to life the application and impact of your offering. However, these case studies must be complemented by factual, predictive data. Prospects need proof that their experience -and subsequent performance improvement - will be consistent with the results enjoyed by your established customers.
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Without Pain There is No Gain |
Developing a sound ROI model that will be effective and credible in a selling situation is not something that can be knocked off in a couple of hours. In a recent survey on wireless ROI best practices, conducted by Gantry Group, the overwhelming majority of respondents said that the difficulty of collecting ROI metrics was their primary reason for not measuring ROI. To overcome the skepticism that some customers have already formed around wild ROI claims, the model must be analytical, explainable, and defensible. In order to achieve this goal the model must be built on upon a strong foundation of customers' business metrics that are realistic, reasonable, and relevant to their business and industry.
The major flaw in most ROI and TCO modeling exercises is lack of accurate, quantifiable data from the customer. Often vendors touting ROI analysis of their offering have generally done so by interviewing one or two customers for their anecdotal impressions about how an offering has impacted productivity. For example:
What percent of IT services time is spent on dealing with connectivity issues of product "x"?
What is the average time to resolution of customer inquiries?
What is the average customer retention cost?
Answers to these questions are too often subjective, provided "on-the-fly" without actual research and analysis. ROI and TCO calculations based on a customer's relatively poor assessment of the impact a vendor offering has on their efficiencies, will not hold up to scrutiny. Customers are no longer accepting figures from back-of-the- cocktail napkin calculations, laced with a measure of secondary data complied by an industry "authority". Industry analyst reports represent data that is typically aggregated over a range of industries, enterprise sizes and existing systems, generating results that are mean-based and generalized. Customers are demanding very specific payback estimates that are validated against a statistically representative set of real customer installations of your offering -- running in specific business environment similar to their own.
Vendors who want to use compelling ROI cases must invest the time and capital resources to query, confirm, and validate their customer's needs around payback and value calculations. To do so, vendors must conduct the necessary research and develop the right survey tools (e.g. ask the right questions), to enable them to (i) identify those metrics that are meaningful and appropriate to the targeted customers, and, (ii) correctly quantify causes that result in intangible effects
So what do your customers wish to see in an ROI model? Ask them! In order to develop an ROI case that your customer's will believe, there are many questions to ask such as:
What is the minimally acceptable payback?
What is the acceptable payback period?
What are the directly measurable metrics your customer considers credible and appropriate?
What indirect metrics and associated assumptions will your customer accept?
| One Size Fits All - Doesn't Work |
Having a robust, believable ROI tool as part of a selling package is no longer an option for companies. There is now a glut of ROI and TCO calculators posted on websites and strapped onto sales account managers. Many of these tools suffer from one or more of the following problems:
Over-generalized and
generic - In trying to satisfy all businesses, the tools are so generic
that they are not representative of any business and do not profile any
market. Prospects are skeptical of website ROI calculators that over
generalize and over-inflate returns using only a few meager, and often
inapplicable, inputs. It's impossible to create a generic, one-size-fits-all
ROI calculator for an offering. Each industry focuses on different business
metrics to track costs and benefits. What is critical for one market, may be
off the radar screen for another. Vendors must gain a vertically focused ROI
understanding for each of their targeted market segments.
Therefore to achieve a robust profiling tool, the ROI calculator should be
customized to a specific customer sector. Narrowing the audience will allow
you to avoid generalization, reduce overall tool complexity (i.e. less
non-applicable data entries) - and increase credibility. Your ROI tool
should be evidence to your target market that you understand their
business.
Doesn't tell the total story - Many ROI tools don't tell the total story - often intentionally. Business metric benefits can be over-inflated by selectively including the investment costs, looking at whatever parameters suit the vendor to sell their product/services, and omitting ones that may not help. Refining the business metrics requires you to investigate and articulate all associated cash flows, both benefits and costs.
Doesn't tell the real story - Most vendors hire an independent third party to develop their ROI calculation tools. Unfortunately many consulting firms create biased ROI tools based on assumptions and algorithms that do not correctly evaluate a customer's projected payback. It is therefore important that you be able to recognize dubious, unsubstantiated ROI approaches, even though they may generate appealing ROI figures - before your customers do. A good ROI calculator builds a company's credibility with its customers by accounting for all costs, and appropriately amortizing upfront investments.
Undisclosed methodology - The underlying methodology of the ROI tool is often not disclosed by vendors. The marketplace has already become wary of the validity of a vendor's underlying assumptions. Your ROI methodology shouldn't be a secret. Without explaining your ROI methodology, there is no evidence that your company understands a prospect's business and the metrics that drive them. The best approach is a direct approach. Fully disclose your methodology, indicating what business metrics and costs were considered by your ROI tool. You will gain creditability points with your prospect.
| Gantry's Proven Payback Modeling Methodology |
Here's Gantry Group's winning methodology for building a successful Quantitative Customer Payback tool that speaks to your customers:
Step 1 - Before developing a quantitative modeling tool, determine the
best and most effective performance measure approach for your company's
prospective customers. Do they make purchase decisions based on an internal
hurdle rate, or is a credible calculation of cost recovery what they need? Are
they looking for the NPV of their investment return over a time period, or do
they want to know the net cash flow associated with an investment after 1 year?
Step 2 - Once the payback metric is selected, develop a model tailored to the driving variables - business metrics -- that are appropriate for the prospective customer. Incomplete or incorrect identification of input variables generates misleading results. The right variables can be derived by querying the existing customer base to discover:
What are the tangible metrics your customer considers credible and appropriate for tracking the performance of your offering in achieving those business goals?
What intangible metrics are associated with the performance of your offering in achieving those business goals?
The driving variables will represent two types of cash flow: those associated with direct costs and revenues and those associated with indirect payments and savings. Savings can arise out of cost reductions and cost avoidance. Revenues can issue from existing customers or new business. Costs include both the purchase price to the vendor plus the costs of implementation, support, training, and employee down time while ramping up.
Step 3 - Understanding cause-and-effect is key to the development of an accurate ROI algorithm. The importance of being able to quantify all the various ways your offering can reduce/avoid costs, create efficiencies, improve revenues and capture the real costs associated with the investment (e.g. not just the initial purchase price), cannot be emphasized too much. As appropriate, survey and interviews of a client's customers are used to reveal hidden costs and benefits, and to discover if there are ways to quantify activities and benefits previously thought too difficult to measure. This exercise results in a map of intangibles (costs and benefits) to quantifiable attributes, generating a rationale for the model that a client's customer will consider both reasonable and insightful.
Step 4 - After researching the target market to find realistic business metrics that track the intangible costs and benefits, it's time to develop a quantitative model to calculate the likely expected payback. "What-if" analysis explores changing time-to-payback, and risk factors to determine rate-limiting variables and overall model sensitivity.
Step 5 - You now have a credible payback model. Now create Payback Profiles for a statistically representative set of target customers to build a data bank. In doing so, your prospective customers will believe your offering's impact is a predictably repeatable experience.
Step 6 - Sell, sell, sell!
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NOW
AVAILABLE! ROI
First Aid Kit for Technology Vendors Gantry Group has just published a primer that speaks
specifically to technology vendors looking to shorten sales cycles using ROI
tools. Today, being able to demonstrate a credible ROI for your products and
services to a prospect is perhaps the most critically important component to
closing a sale. The 16-page ROI Primer is based on Gantry Group’s mission
to provide unbiased research and opinions that help companies to maximize
sustained market adoption of their offering. Based on expertise derived out of Gantry Group’s
Quantifying Customer Payback Practice, (http://www.gantrygroup.com/what_we_do/practices_qcp.htm),
this white paper achieves quick knowledge transfer to technology vendors who
wish to effectively measure and communicate customer ROI.
The ROI Primer provides a highly readable overview of the various ways
technology buyers measure ROI success or failure. Gantry Group de-mystifies the
many confusing payback definitions, terms and calculations now flooding the
industry and media. With this white paper, Gantry Group effectively transcends
the concept of ROI from the realm of the corporate financier to the technology
executive. The white paper comprehensively addresses the process of gathering and measuring costs and benefits. A methodology is outlined for pinpointing the exact business performance metrics used by technology buyers to judge the benefits of a particular technology investment. Gantry Group also highlights the pitfalls to avoid, identifying “worst ROI practices” such as employing artificial means to maximize the ROI from a technology investment. The primer is the result of Gantry Group’s extensive technology client research and strategy engagements that have repeatedly underscored the importance of ROI calculations in closing technology sales. The white paper is available to the general public off of Gantry Group’s website (www.gantrygroup.com).
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About the Gantry Group The Gantry Group is a strategic advisory firm that uses primary market
research to help companies cost-effectively accelerate the successful
market adoption of their products and services -- online and offline.
Gantry Group has helped over 165 client companies drive sales, acquire new
customers, increase brand equity, and increase customer lifetime value
through our market analysis, marketing testing, and ROI/TCO benchmarking
service suites.
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| The Gantry Group,
LLC 30 Monument Square, Suite 135 Concord MA 01742 |
Phone: 978-371-7557 Fax: 978-287-0043 Email: info@gantrygroup.com Web: http://www.gantrygroup.com/ |
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